Local property market information for the serious investor

Average Rent Paid by Tenants in Cardiff Bay rise to £1,200 per month

 

Back in the Spring, there was a surge in Cardiff Bay landlords buying buy to let property in Cardiff Bay as they tried to beat George Osborne’s new stamp duty changes which kicked in on the 1st April 2016. To give you an idea of the sort of numbers we are talking about, below are the property statistics for sales either side of the deadline in CF10.

Jan 2016 – 30 properties sold

Feb 2016 – 29 properties sold

March 2016 – 81 properties sold

April 2016 – 8 properties sold

May 2016 – 12 properties sold

Normally, the number of sales in the Spring months is very similar, irrespective of the month. However, as one can see, this year was a completely different picture as landlords moved their purchases forward to beat the stamp duty increase. You would think that even with a basic knowledge of supply and demand economics, rents would be affected in a downwards direction?

However, there appears to be no apparent effect on the levels of rent being asked in Cardiff Bay – and more importantly achieved – and this direction of rents is not likely to inverse any time soon, particularly as legislation planned for 2017 might reduce rental stock and push property values ever upward. The decline of buy to let mortgage interest tax relief will make some properties lossmaking, forcing landlords to pass on costs to tenants in the form of higher rents just to stay afloat. Even those who can still operate may be deterred from making further investments, reducing rental stock at a time of severe property shortage.

.. but it’s not all bad news for tenants. Whilst average rents in Cardiff Bay since 2005 have increased by 13.1%, inflation has been 38.5% over the same time frame, meaning Cardiff Bay tenants are 25.4% better off in real terms when it comes to their rent (which is a sizeable chunk of most people’s monthly household budgets)

Year Average Rent in Cardiff Bay per month
2005 1003
2006 1027
2007 1062
2008 1095
2009 1104
2010 1098
2011 1114
2012 1134
2013 1149
2014 1162
2015 1180
2016 1200

 

I found it particularly interesting looking at the rent rises over the last five years in Cardiff Bay, as it was five years ago we started to see the very early green shoots of growth of the Cardiff Bay economy.  As a whole, following the Credit crunch (2011), rents in Cardiff Bay have risen by an average of 0.7% a year – fascinating don’t you think?

The view I am trying to portray is that while renting is often portrayed as the unfavorable alternative to home ownership, many young Cardiff Bay professionals like renting as it gives them adaptability with their life. Rents will continue to rise which is good news for landlords as buy to let is an investment but, as can be seen from the statistics, tenants have also had a good deal with below inflation increases in rents in the past. It’s a win-win situation for everyone although on a very personal note, it’s imperative in the future that tenants are not thwarted from saving for a deposit by excessive rental hikes – there has to be a balance.

Kate Gwinnutt

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