October 24, 2016
Well its been a few months since Brexit and as we settle into the Autumn with Great British Bake Off, Strictly and the Football season … the newspapers are returning to their mixed messages of good news, bad news and indifferent news about the Brit’s favourite subject after the weather … the property market.
The thing is the UK does not have one housing market. Instead, it is a patchwork of mini property markets all performing in a different way. At one end of scale are Kensington and Chelsea, which has seen average prices drop in the last twelve months by 6.2% whilst in Wales, house prices are 4.9% higher. But what about Cardiff?
Property prices in Cardiff are 6.5% higher than a year ago
and 1.2% higher than last month.
So what does this mean for Cardiff landlords and homeowners? Not that much unless you are buying or selling in reality. Most sellers are buyers anyway, so if the one you are buying has gone up, yours has gone up. Everything is relative and what I would say is, if you look hard enough, there are even in this market, there are still some bargains to be had in Cardiff.
However, the most important question you should be asking though is not only what is happening to property prices, but exactly which price band is selling? I like to keep an eye on the property market in Cardiff on a daily basis because it enables me to give the best advice and opinion on what (or not) to buy in Cardiff.
If you look at Cardiff and split the property market into four equalled sized price bands. Each price band would have around 25% of the property in Cardiff, from the lowest in value band (the bottom 25%) all the way through to the highest 25% band (in terms of value).
- Nil to £140k 638 properties for sale and 474 sold (stc) i.e. 42% sold
- £140k to £190k 598 properties for sale and 477 sold (stc) i.e. 46% sold
- £190k to £325k 596 properties for sale and 600 sold (stc) i.e. 50% sold
- £325k + 510 properties for sale and 280 sold (stc) i.e. 35% sold
Fascinating don’t you think that it is the middle Cardiff market that is doing the best?
The next nine months’ activity will be crucial in understanding which way the market will go after Brexit … but, Brexit or no Brexit, people will always need a roof over their head and that is why the property market has ridden the storms of oil crisis’ in the 1970’s, the 1980’s depression, Black Monday in the 1990’s, and latterly the credit crunch together with the various house price crashes of 1973, 1987 and 2008.
And why? Because of Britain’s chronic lack of housing will prop up house prices and prevent a post spike crash. … there is always a silver lining when it comes to the property market!